FIFA World Cup 2026

Team rankings

All 48 teams with their live tournament status. “Title odds now” conditions on every match already played; the pre-tournament column is what the same model said before a ball was kicked.

#Status
1Brazil flagBrazilOut — Round of 16#60.538.5%—
2Germany flagGermanyOut — Round of 32#100.335.5%—
3France flagFranceOut — Semifinal#30.294.8%—
4Netherlands flagNetherlandsOut — Round of 32#80.304.6%—
5Argentina flagArgentinaOut — Final#10.284.5%—
6England flagEnglandOut — Semifinal#40.243.7%—
7Spain flagSpainChampion#20.213.7%
0.0%
8Portugal flagPortugalOut — Round of 16#50.173.3%—
9Croatia flagCroatiaOut — Round of 32#110.112.8%—
10Uruguay flagUruguayOut — Group stage#160.122.8%—
11Sweden flagSwedenOut — Round of 32#380.102.4%—
12Czechia flagCzechiaOut — Group stage#390.052.3%—
13Türkiye flagTürkiyeOut — Group stage#220.042.2%—
14Canada flagCanadaHostOut — Round of 16#30-0.052.1%—
15Austria flagAustriaOut — Round of 32#240.032.1%—
16Belgium flagBelgiumOut — Quarterfinal#90.012.0%—
17Colombia flagColombiaOut — Round of 16#130.042.0%—
18Senegal flagSenegalOut — Round of 32#150.011.9%—
19Ecuador flagEcuadorOut — Round of 32#230.021.9%—
20Côte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'IvoireOut — Round of 32#33-0.011.8%—
21Paraguay flagParaguayOut — Round of 16#40-0.041.7%—
22Egypt flagEgyptOut — Round of 16#29-0.041.7%—
23South Africa flagSouth AfricaOut — Round of 32#60-0.071.6%—
24Norway flagNorwayOut — Quarterfinal#31-0.011.6%—
25Ghana flagGhanaOut — Round of 32#73-0.031.6%—
26Morocco flagMoroccoOut — Quarterfinal#7-0.031.6%—
27Algeria flagAlgeriaOut — Round of 32#28-0.041.5%—
28Panama flagPanamaOut — Group stage#34-0.051.5%—
29United States flagUnited StatesHostOut — Round of 16#17-0.141.4%—
30Mexico flagMexicoHostOut — Round of 16#14-0.161.4%—
31Switzerland flagSwitzerlandOut — Quarterfinal#19-0.061.4%—
32Japan flagJapanOut — Round of 32#18-0.051.4%—
33Scotland flagScotlandOut — Group stage#42-0.091.3%—
34Congo DR flagCongo DROut — Round of 32#45-0.091.3%—
35Qatar flagQatarOut — Group stage#57-0.101.3%—
36Iraq flagIraqOut — Group stage#56-0.091.3%—
37Australia flagAustraliaOut — Round of 32#27-0.131.2%—
38Bosnia-Herzegovina flagBosnia-HerzegovinaOut — Round of 32#64-0.121.2%—
39Tunisia flagTunisiaOut — Group stage#46-0.091.2%—
40Uzbekistan flagUzbekistanOut — Group stage#50-0.101.2%—
41IR Iran flagIR IranOut — Group stage#20-0.141.1%—
42New Zealand flagNew ZealandOut — Group stage#85-0.171.0%—
43Cape Verde flagCape VerdeOut — Round of 32#67-0.171.0%—
44Jordan flagJordanOut — Group stage#63-0.160.9%—
45Korea Republic flagKorea RepublicOut — Group stage#25-0.230.8%—
46Haiti flagHaitiOut — Group stage#83-0.200.8%—
47Saudi Arabia flagSaudi ArabiaOut — Group stage#61-0.220.8%—
48Curaçao flagCuraçaoOut — Group stage#82-0.230.7%—

FIFA rank vs. model power rating

Where the model agrees with — and diverges from — the official FIFA rankings, by confederation.

UEFA (Europe)
CONMEBOL (South America)
CONCACAF (North/Central America)
CAF (Africa)
AFC (Asia)
OFC (Oceania)