Team rankings
All 48 teams with their live tournament status. “Title odds now” conditions on every match already played; the pre-tournament column is what the same model said before a ball was kicked.
| # | Status | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Out — Round of 16 | #6 | 0.53 | 8.5% | — | |
| 2 | Out — Round of 32 | #10 | 0.33 | 5.5% | — | |
| 3 | Out — Semifinal | #3 | 0.29 | 4.8% | — | |
| 4 | Out — Round of 32 | #8 | 0.30 | 4.6% | — | |
| 5 | Out — Final | #1 | 0.28 | 4.5% | — | |
| 6 | Out — Semifinal | #4 | 0.24 | 3.7% | — | |
| 7 | Champion | #2 | 0.21 | 3.7% | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Out — Round of 16 | #5 | 0.17 | 3.3% | — | |
| 9 | Out — Round of 32 | #11 | 0.11 | 2.8% | — | |
| 10 | Out — Group stage | #16 | 0.12 | 2.8% | — | |
| 11 | Out — Round of 32 | #38 | 0.10 | 2.4% | — | |
| 12 | Out — Group stage | #39 | 0.05 | 2.3% | — | |
| 13 | Out — Group stage | #22 | 0.04 | 2.2% | — | |
| 14 | Out — Round of 16 | #30 | -0.05 | 2.1% | — | |
| 15 | Out — Round of 32 | #24 | 0.03 | 2.1% | — | |
| 16 | Out — Quarterfinal | #9 | 0.01 | 2.0% | — | |
| 17 | Out — Round of 16 | #13 | 0.04 | 2.0% | — | |
| 18 | Out — Round of 32 | #15 | 0.01 | 1.9% | — | |
| 19 | Out — Round of 32 | #23 | 0.02 | 1.9% | — | |
| 20 | Out — Round of 32 | #33 | -0.01 | 1.8% | — | |
| 21 | Out — Round of 16 | #40 | -0.04 | 1.7% | — | |
| 22 | Out — Round of 16 | #29 | -0.04 | 1.7% | — | |
| 23 | Out — Round of 32 | #60 | -0.07 | 1.6% | — | |
| 24 | Out — Quarterfinal | #31 | -0.01 | 1.6% | — | |
| 25 | Out — Round of 32 | #73 | -0.03 | 1.6% | — | |
| 26 | Out — Quarterfinal | #7 | -0.03 | 1.6% | — | |
| 27 | Out — Round of 32 | #28 | -0.04 | 1.5% | — | |
| 28 | Out — Group stage | #34 | -0.05 | 1.5% | — | |
| 29 | Out — Round of 16 | #17 | -0.14 | 1.4% | — | |
| 30 | Out — Round of 16 | #14 | -0.16 | 1.4% | — | |
| 31 | Out — Quarterfinal | #19 | -0.06 | 1.4% | — | |
| 32 | Out — Round of 32 | #18 | -0.05 | 1.4% | — | |
| 33 | Out — Group stage | #42 | -0.09 | 1.3% | — | |
| 34 | Out — Round of 32 | #45 | -0.09 | 1.3% | — | |
| 35 | Out — Group stage | #57 | -0.10 | 1.3% | — | |
| 36 | Out — Group stage | #56 | -0.09 | 1.3% | — | |
| 37 | Out — Round of 32 | #27 | -0.13 | 1.2% | — | |
| 38 | Out — Round of 32 | #64 | -0.12 | 1.2% | — | |
| 39 | Out — Group stage | #46 | -0.09 | 1.2% | — | |
| 40 | Out — Group stage | #50 | -0.10 | 1.2% | — | |
| 41 | Out — Group stage | #20 | -0.14 | 1.1% | — | |
| 42 | Out — Group stage | #85 | -0.17 | 1.0% | — | |
| 43 | Out — Round of 32 | #67 | -0.17 | 1.0% | — | |
| 44 | Out — Group stage | #63 | -0.16 | 0.9% | — | |
| 45 | Out — Group stage | #25 | -0.23 | 0.8% | — | |
| 46 | Out — Group stage | #83 | -0.20 | 0.8% | — | |
| 47 | Out — Group stage | #61 | -0.22 | 0.8% | — | |
| 48 | Out — Group stage | #82 | -0.23 | 0.7% | — |
FIFA rank vs. model power rating
Where the model agrees with — and diverges from — the official FIFA rankings, by confederation.
UEFA (Europe)
CONMEBOL (South America)
CONCACAF (North/Central America)
CAF (Africa)
AFC (Asia)
OFC (Oceania)
